Analysis | Heat. Drought. Fires. Biden eyes local weather emergency.

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Welcome to The Daily 202! Tell your mates to join right here. The Associated Press informs me that, on this present day in 1961, first-class passengers heading from New York to Los Angeles aboard a Trans World Airlines aircraft watched “By Love Possessed,” the primary repeatedly scheduled in-flight film.

President Biden faces the disastrous politics of disaster politics

Drought-parched Lake Mead, which straddles the Arizona-Nevada border, is often the nation’s largest water reservoir by quantity. But its ranges are at historic lows, which in all probability means more water cuts for America’s southwest

Texas energy firms are apparently adjusting customers’ thermostats remotely to decrease electrical energy demand throughout a warmth wave – and a few prospects can’t reject the adjustments.

On France’s sweltering Atlantic coast, the neighborhood of Biscarosse posted a record 108.68 degrees on Monday.

A run-down bridge in London required foil wrapping to stop the warmth from doing doubtlessly harmful harm. One movie show chain in Britain is providing redheads free tickets to get away from this week’s hottest days of their air-conditioned havens.

Out-of-control wildfires in France and Spain have scorched forests and despatched tens of hundreds scrambling for security, at the same time as a lot of Western Europe grapples with lethal warmth waves. Blazes even have consumed large swathes of the American West.

Droughts in Italy have generated fears for crops – and arresting images as rivers retreat.

Scientists and governments blame global warming. Climate change accelerates and worsens harmful climate phenomena. Any one of many tales listed above would benefit consideration from the information media. Taken collectively, they’re the portrait of a worldwide crisis.

If you assume the definition of politics consists of how a society organizes itself to allocate finite assets and to blunt exterior threats, what’s taking place is a political story. Arguably the most important, spanning the globe, with life-and-death stakes.

My colleagues Tony Romm and Jeff Stein reported late Monday evening that President Biden might declare a nationwide emergency about local weather as quickly as this week, which in idea would improve his capacity to take govt actions to fight international warming.

Biden additionally plans some unspecified different steps, Tony and Jeff reported. But “[t]he exact scope and timing of any announcements remain in flux.” And any actions would face “a formidable court challenge,” they predicted.

The report got here as American politics has been doing a quantity on Biden’s plans to fight local weather change. And with Republicans favored to retake not less than the House and presumably the Senate in November’s midterm elections, time is working out for his environmental agenda.

First, the conservative-dominated Supreme Court issued a ruling in late June that sharply restricted the Environmental Protection Agency’s authority to scale back the carbon output of present energy vegetation.

Then, late final week, after months of negotiations, Sen. Joe Manchin III (D-W.Va.) informed fellow Democrats he wouldn’t signal on to plans to spend cash to combat local weather change or elevate taxes on the wealthy and firms.

(He cited considerations about inflation. But take into account that, a yr in the past, he was being described as a “staunch defender” of his state’s coal business – from which he will get appreciable revenue – and somebody who “supports an energy policy that’s ‘not elimination, it’s innovation.’”)

And whereas Democrats’ anger has centered on Manchin, it’s lockstep Republican opposition to Biden’s environmental proposals that has pressured the occasion to make use of a parliamentary tactic known as reconciliation that lets them cross one thing with simply “D” votes within the 50-50 Senate. That’s if, because the West Virginia senator simply reminded everybody, all of them stick collectively.

(As my colleague Maxine Joselow famous the opposite day, it’s not simply Biden’s downside: “Climate activists also argue it’s a major setback for the planet, whose catastrophic warming would have been slowed by the significant new spending on climate and clean energy.”)

On the floor, public opinion in regards to the local weather disaster would appear to favor motion. Majorities of varying sizes say the federal authorities must do extra; characterize the scenario as an emergency; and agree human exercise, like burning fossil fuels, is generally accountable.

But a September 2021 ballot from the non-partisan Pew Research Center found some interesting political divisions.

Overall, 67 p.c of Americans mentioned excessive climate occasions have been taking place extra typically than up to now, towards 28 p.c who mentioned they have been taking place as typically, and 4 p.c who mentioned they have been much less frequent, Pew discovered. 

But amongst Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents, 85 p.c mentioned “more often.” Just 44 p.c of Republicans and GOP-leaning independents mentioned the identical, whereas 52 p.c of that cohort mentioned they have been taking place as typically as up to now.

How in regards to the authorities response? The ballot, which checked out attitudes towards infrastructure, discovered 62 p.c of Americans general mentioned they have been extra involved authorities won’t go far sufficient in limiting new building in areas at excessive threat for disasters like storms or wildfires.

Slightly over half of that group – 33 p.c – mentioned they have been extra involved authorities would go too far.

That was general. Get into opinions by occasion, and you discover 79 p.c of Democrats are within the “not far enough” camp, whereas 53 p.c of Republicans fret extra about authorities overreach. Still, 43 p.c of GOP respondents mentioned they nervous extra authorities wouldn’t go far sufficient.

Even catastrophic developments for the planet can’t escape in the present day’s partisan divisions.

House poised to cross invoice offering same-sex marriage protections

“Today, the Democratic-led House is poised to pass legislation providing federal protections for same-sex marriages, including a provision that would require states to recognize valid marriages performed in other states,” John Wagner and Mariana Alfaro report.

  • “The legislation on same-sex marriage is expected to draw some Republican votes in the House, but its fate is unclear in the evenly divided Senate, where 60 votes are required to advance most legislation.”

China says it would take ‘forceful measures’ if Pelosi visits Taiwan

“China’s Foreign Ministry lashed out Tuesday after reports that House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) is planning a trip to Taiwan in August, saying it firmly opposes a visit,” Adela Suliman and Christian Shepherd report.

White House unveils new steps to assist Americans detained abroad

“As part of an executive order set to be issued by President Biden, the U.S. government will be authorized to increase the sharing of intelligence and other information with the families of those held overseas, officials told reporters ahead of the order’s release. The administration will also be able to impose sanctions on those involved in unlawfully holding Americans, sometimes as a result of suggestions or tips from detainees’ relatives, the officials said,” Missy Ryan experiences.

Senate Foreign Relations Committee meets to contemplate including Sweden, Finland to NATO

Today, the Senate Foreign Relations Committee will begin the process of giving formal U.S. approval to Sweden and Finland becoming a member of NATO. 

U.S. requests extra info on UAE arrest of Khashoggi lawyer

“State Department spokesman Ned Price said Monday that the United States is requesting ‘additional information’ from the United Arab Emirates about the arrest of Asim Ghafoor, a U.S. citizen and former attorney for slain Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi,” John Hudson and Kareem Fahim report.

Lunchtime reads from The Post

Do Jewish New Yorkers care about id politics? Jerry Nadler hopes so.

“Nadler’s Jewishness has taken on new importance since redistricting has left him in a pickle, pitting him in a showdown against another powerful Democrat, Rep. Carolyn Maloney, in a new district that melds his West Side and her East Side,” Paul Schwartzman experiences.

If Nadler’s 30-year reign in Congress ends, his campaign recently warned in a fundraising appeal, New York City would lose its ‘last remaining’ Jewish representative — a seemingly incongruent decline for a city that is home to more Jewish people than anywhere in the world outside Israel.”

As Biden eyes 2024, one particular person weighs closely: Donald Trump

“Biden may seek reelection in any case, people in his inner circle say, but if Trump runs, Biden is far more likely to do so. And if Trump holds off, it will be far easier for other Democrats to approach Biden about letting someone else take on a younger Republican nominee,” Matt Viser experiences.

Two cities took totally different approaches to pandemic courtroom closures. They obtained totally different outcomes.

“Many courts around the country still aren’t operating at full capacity, and law-and-order types aren’t the only ones concerned. Defense attorneys and members of the progressive prosecutor movement are worried too. The Sixth Amendment guarantees defendants a speedy trial, but many have been sitting in jail for months on end. ‘A lot of the Constitution has been kind of glossed over,’ Doug Wilber, a public defender in Albuquerque, told me,” Alec MacGillis writes in a collaboration between ProPublica and the Atlantic.

“The link between any one instance of violence and courtroom delays can be hard to prove. But sometimes it couldn’t be more obvious.”

Democrats boosted a MAGA longshot within the Pa. gov’s race. Now he’s obtained an actual shot at successful.

Jackie Kulback was just one of the Pennsylvania GOP leaders who was worried in May when Doug Mastriano clinched the Republican primary for governor. Mastriano was a MAGA state senator who worked to overturn the 2020 presidential election and Kulback thought he would struggle to win the critical battleground state in the fall. But she’s feeling differently these days,” Politico‘s Holly Otterbein reports.

Three journalist deaths match uneasily in Biden’s human rights push

“Biden’s handling of the killings of the three journalists reflects what has become a central dilemma of his foreign policy: how to keep his promise of restoring human rights to a marquee role while at the same time urgently building a world coalition against Russia and China,” Yasmeen Abutaleb, Kareem Fahim and Missy Ryan report.

Biden warns colleges to not over-punish college students with disabilities

“The Biden administration issued new school discipline guidelines Tuesday aimed at avoiding discrimination against students with disabilities, students who historically have been suspended and expelled at greater rates than their peers,” Donna St. George experiences.

Biden is not burning up the TikTok charts. Dems are completely happy he is there.

“The Democratic National Committee took the dive into TikTok four months ago, and officials are so far happy with the results. But while the committee is pushing out its party’s leader to the millions upon millions of young users who congregate on TikTok, Biden hasn’t necessarily been the party’s most viral messenger,” Politico‘s Sabrina Rodriguez reports.

  • “Some of the DNC’s other most viewed TikTok videos feature Democratic figures, such as Hillary Clinton, Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, Rep. Tim Ryan of Ohio and Rep. Katie Porter of California.”

CNN Poll: Most Americans are discontented with Biden, the financial system and the state of the nation

“The summer of 2022 is a season of deepening and widespread discontent, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS. The survey finds the public’s outlook on the state of the country the worst it’s been since 2009, while its view on the economy is the worst since 2011. And nearly 7 in 10 say President Joe Biden hasn’t paid enough attention to the nation’s most pressing problems,” CNN‘s Jennifer Agiesta reports.

The variety of metro areas within the U.S., visualized

“The least-diverse metro areas are concentrated in Appalachia, the northern Great Plains and Rockies, and just outside major cities in the Midwest, such as Chicago, Minneapolis and Indianapolis,” Andrew Van Dam explains.

Democrats’ tax-hike plans are imperiled — with or with out Joe Manchin

“The US Senate’s arcane budget rules threaten Democrats’ plans to increase taxes on the wealthy and corporations and invest in climate programs before November’s midterm elections, even if they can win Joe Manchin’s support,” Bloomberg News‘s Erik Wasson and Laura Davison report.

“Manchin, the key holdout vote who last week scuttled talks of a revived economic agenda, said he could support a broader tax and spending bill in September, if inflation cools. But there simply may not be time then for the grueling late-night votes and other procedures required to push the legislation through.”

Rand Paul lights into McConnell over ‘secret’ judicial deal

“Sen. Rand Paul unloaded on fellow Republican Mitch McConnell for the Senate GOP leader’s handling of an anti-abortion judicial nomination, criticizing McConnell for refusing to consult with him about abandoned nominee Chad Meredith. The White House pulled Meredith’s nomination last week, with both McConnell and administration officials blaming Paul for refusing to sign off,” Politico‘s Burgess Everett reports

The president doesn’t have any public occasions scheduled this afternoon.

We asked Emmanuel the TikTok-interrupting emu about his sudden fame

Emmanuel, arguably the world’s most famous emu, stared deeply at the phone camera with his reddish-brown eyes. He looked, at best, mildly curious,” Annabelle Timsit reports.

“Millions of people have watched videos of the giant bird strutting into the frame of [Taylor Blake’s] TikTok videos, uninvited and oblivious to anything going on around him. In some cases, Emmanuel attacks the phone while it’s recording — pecking the device to the ground — and he constantly interrupts the social media content creator’s educational videos about animals and farm life.”

Thanks for studying. See you tomorrow.

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